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Helping Citizens Understand Mendocino County's Debt and Finances
 
 
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Understand Mendocino County's Debt. Hold Officials accountable. Redirect the County's finances.

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Grand Jury Report on Pension Fund

6/7/10 - Damning report on County Pension Fund. Click to see.

First - Do No Harm

Why did the County stop paying for retiree heatlhcare? How is it that today's second graders will be paying for healthcare spending for retirees a decade ago? Our video First - Do No Harm lays it all out for you. We're told we made a complicated situation easy to understand.

Reports, Videos, Data

We've produced a number of videos showing different aspects of Mendocino County's debt. Plus a dozen or so reports. We list our data sources.

What Caused the Debt?

If you understand the concepts on this one page, you will understand how 85% of the County's Debt was created without citizens knowing about it.

Archives

A new section - archives of our e-mail newsletters starting in fall of 2008, and the home pages connected to them.

Recent Articles

Interesting recent press articles: I don't agree with everything - but this is what's out there.

California Legislative Democrats Unveil Bills to Crack Down on Huge Pensions - SacBee - 8/20/10

Taxpayers to be Stuck with $3 Trillion Default of State Pensions - Kellogg School of Management - Northwestern University - 8/19/10

SEC Charges State of New Jersey for Municipal Bond Fraud - False Claims About Pension Funding - SEC Press Release - 8/18/10

NJ Consents on SEC Fraud Finding - WatchDog.Org - 8/18/10

Watered Down Pension Reform Effort Withdrawn - LA Times 8/18/10

Lakeport City Council Votes Down Improved Police Retirement Package - Lake County News 8/18/10

Ex-governor Gray Davis says California Must Reform Pensions - Reuters 8/16/10

Pension Reform Takes Off in California - SF Chronicle 8/17/10

Who Should Pay for the Trillion-Dollar Pension Gap - NY Times 8/6/10

The New Class Warfare: Private vs. Public Worker - LA Times 8/5/10

Bell: One Scandal In A Sea Of Municipal Corruption - PublicCEO 8/2/10

The Problem with Pensions - John Mauldin/Frontline Weekly 8/6/10

Sonoma County OKs $290 Million Pension Bond - Santa Rosa PD 8/3/10

L.A. pensions may consume a third of city's general fund by 2015 - LA Times 8/3/10

UNFUNDED LIABILITIES OF STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE RETIREMENT BENEFIT PLANS -New Study National Center for Policy Analysis 7/29/10




Mendocino County's
Five Financial Time Bombs

Too Late to Avoid Disaster

Failed Pension Funding Plan

Whheeeee! 8/5/10: A month ago I saw something I'd never seen before - The specific path that will probably take Mendocino County over the financial cliff.

This almost certain fate was caused by the County's spectacular failure to achieve its pension funding plan.

According to its plan the only money the County should ever have to pay into the Fund is its "normal" yearly contribution. That money combined with adequate investment profits was supposed to keep the Pension Fund "fully funded".

The Pension Fund was supposed to have $400 million on June 2009. It had $270 million. The County is solely responsible to make additional payments to eliminate the $130 million deficit.

The County also still owed $85 million on Pension Obligation Bonds sold in '96 and '02 to eliminate previous unfunded pensions.

The cost to the County's citizens of the County's failure to live up to its funding plan is $215 million - the total debt created by unfunded pensions. If the County's plan had worked, it wouldn't owe a dime!

As a result of this failure, a number of financial time bombs are now embedded in the Pension Fund that will explode over the next five years. Although specific cost may vary, the explosions are a mathematical certainty!

 
Charlie Chaplin and the Falling Grand Piano

Debt Payments to Double by 2015

Ka-Booom!

The Time Bombs are -

  1. $100 million of Pension Fund earnings deficits in '08 and '09 have not yet been included in the County's "official" value of unfunded pensions.
  2. The County started making extra payments this year to eliminate the unfunded pensions. The amortization method it is using -
    • Increases payments every year
    • Increases debt by $45 million +
    • Increases interest expense $100 million+
  3. Unfunded pensions incur 8% yearly interest expense on a market value basis.
  4. The Retirement Association's cash flow has been $5 million negative each of the last five years and will continue to be negative.
  5. The Pension Fund is going to "write off" a $9.3 million fake receivable.

Folks - please believe me. I'm not "crying wolf". I'm as serious as I can be.

Something big is going to break. I don't see any way out - it's too late.

Are you prepared to see Deputy Sheriff patrols cut in half? Roads washing out? Mass cuts in health and human services? No libraries - no museum?

A financial "Hurricane Katrina" is coming, and our County is not prepared.

I explain all this in my report below.

Mendocino County's Financial Time Bombs Supplemental Information:
Mendocino County's Financial Time Bombs - 6 page pdf file - 467KB).

How Pension Funds Work

Very few people understand the finances of the County's Pension Fund - including the County Board of Supervisors that establishes our County's budget. That's because the way "Actuaries" analyze and plan Pension Funds is very complicated.

This lack of understanding is a major cause of the major financial damage has been done.

As I was writing the "Financial Time Bomb" report I found myself repeatedly explaining Actuarial terms and calculations. The report got way too long. So I finally did something I've wanted to do for over a year.

I wrote "How Pension Funds Work" (click to see) to explain the concepts concerned citizens and public officials need to understand to see how our County got into such deep debt, and to engage effectively in the debates about what to do now.

 

Bill Gates on Fraudulent Government Pension Accounting

Bill Gates 8/18/10: Microsoft chairman Bill Gates appeared in several discussions at the 2010 Aspen Ideas Festival in July. One conversation wandered into talking about education budgets. The Moderator then asked if Gates thinks unfunded government pensions are a big problem. Boy howdy!

One example - in discussing whether or not state and local government budgets are really "balanced" in light of their huge unfunded pension debts Gates said - "Only accounting fraud allows you to pretend its balanced".

That's what allows Mendocino County Supervisor John Pinches to brag to voters the County has always had balanced budgets. The County's budget doesn't include the expense that created the County's $220 million unfunded pension debt.

I 100% agree with Gates. I realized a few years ago that Mendocino County's accounting does exactly what Gates describes in this video. That realization is why I decided I needed to raise holy hell about our County's debt. It completely blew my mind that government accounting works this way. Our County's financial statements don't tell the truth - big time!

It is fraudulent!

Click to see a video of what Gates had to say.

Sonoma County - More Pension Debt

8/2/10: The Sonoma County Board of Supervisors voted 5-0 last week to borrow $300 million by selling Pension Obligation Bonds. The County borrowed money by selling Pension Bonds twice before - in 1993 ($100 million) and 2003 ($230 million).

Last December the Pension Fund was supposed to have $2 billion, but the real market value of its investments was $1.3 billion. On a cash basis Sonoma County's Pension Fund was $700 million short!

And - Sonoma County still owes about $260 million on its first two Pension Bonds.

Sonoma County's debt caused by unfunded pensions is almost $1 BILLION.

One billion dollars is mind boggling - but in fact Mendocino County with a much smaller population and a weaker economy is in worse shape.

Both Counties are dangerously deep in debt. This is the third time in two decades both Boards of Supervisors and their financial officials allowed unfunded pensions to grow to such dangerous levels. Neither set of officials knows what keeps making this happen. Neither has told the people the truth about this debt. Neither has confronted what they need to do so it won't happen again.

This article (click to read) by Tom Lynch Tom Lynchdetails a number of problems with Sonoma County's third Pension Bond. Tom is quite active in a number of political issues in his County and is organizing to help his fellow citizens understand the dangerous debt their County officials have allowed to develop over the past 20 years.

 

City of Bell Salaries and Pensions

8/4/10: I've mostly thought the public and media reaction to the City of Bell's outrageous salaries and pensions :was somewhat overblown. I doubt many local governments come anywhere near that level of corruption.

But then along came several very interesting articles.

When Police Chief Randy Adams was hired by Bell they more than doubled his salary from what he was earning at Glendale - up to $457,000 a year!

Adams, who ran a Police Department with fewer than 40 officers, made more than the Chief of the Los Angeles Police Department with over 10,000 cops!

Some press reports say many other cities including Adams' former employers will experience a huge bump up in their unfunded pensions because of that outrageous salary at his last job. Others seem to dispute that. (Click to read a good LA Times report).

A very interesting article by the City Manager of Ventura ends with this thought:

The rampant municipal corruption in Bell is not the inevitable byproduct of demographics, nor can it be dismissed as simple human greed. The fault lies not in our stars nor canny crooks, but in ourselves. We allow nearly half a million of our fellow citizens to be trapped in corruption-plagued artificial jurisdictions.

Well worth reading (click here) - a very interesting examination of how the historical boundaries of cities in southeast LA created the conditions in which Bell's corruption flourished - in more cities than Bell.

Finally - a "hoot" of a website that is an amazing example of what this new "internet media" can do.

From PublicCEO.com (click to see story)

Long before the main stream media picked up on the corruption in Southeast cities like Bell, Los Angeles County had its own watchdog snarling in the margins. A self-described "courageously innovative, muckraking website", WatchOurCity.com (click to see) has been tattling on suspicious politicians in Southeast Los Angeles for the greater part of the decade.

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